Notes

Five technical notes on public data: three studies and two reviews. Each states its basis, its validation and what it does not check. Each note has its own page, with the PDF for download. Written on personal time, on a personally held SOFiSTiK licence, using public data only.

PSE-TM-01 · Rev A — 2026-10-15Issued

The MODE jointed deployable truss flown on STS-48 is rebuilt from public documents and reproduces the 1993 analysis of record to within 0.8% without calibration. Three quantities are then predicted with the flight data held out, and seven candidate mechanisms for the measured ground-to-orbit softening are eliminated, each with its modal selectivity and gravity driver quantified.

Suspension stiffening predicted at +2.53% against +2.58% measured — 0.09 standard deviations of the experiment's own reassembly scatter. The result is an exclusion space, not a mechanism: only cable axial stiffness has the right modal selectivity, yet gravity moves mean cable tension by 0.08%.
Download PDF 9 pp · 149 KB
NASA CR-4500 · Barlow 1992 · Bobronnikov 1994SOFiSTiK 2022 + independent Python FE239 nodes / 348 elements
PSE-TM-02 · Rev A — 2026-10-15Issued

A declared three-panel wing, dimensioned after a publicly documented class of array, is carried through 20 configurations across three deployment sequences using a geometric-nonlinear chain and an independent planar multibody model. The study tests what happens when the damper representation used for the torque-margin budget is carried into the dynamics.

Replacing a constant 0.55 N·m damper with a 12.5 N·m·s/rad rate law cuts peak member bending from 203.5 to 10.9 N·m and latch arrival from 147 to 30.1 deg/s. The modelling choice that looks conservative in the margin budget oversizes the structure by a factor of twenty, and reverses which sequence is worst.
Download PDF 5 pp · 121 KB
NASA-STD-5017 torque margintwo solvers · 60 analysesjoints moment-continuous — the dominant simplification
PSE-TM-03 · Rev A — 2026-10-15Issued

A Monte Carlo study propagates 22 tagged parameters across five independent channels into deployed shape and deployed frequency, run through two solvers on identical per-sample seeds. It asks which toleranced quantity actually governs deployed geometry.

None of them. Cable tension set by over-centre lock geometry carries 87.2% of the torsion-frequency variance, through an amplification factor EA/T of 450 turning cut length into tension. All dimensional tolerance together carries 13%; the only drawn tolerance in the entire source corpus carries 0.3%. Dimensional tolerance under-predicts the hardware's measured reassembly scatter by about 17×.
Download PDF 8 pp · 152 KB
MODE Structural Test Article4,000 samples + 300 paired-seed cross-checkone solver and a witness
PSE-TM-04 · Rev A — 2026-10-15Issued

A review separating binding requirement from convention across the NASA and ECSS structural verification documents, and identifying four places where the requirement thins to judgement: unverified intermediate deployment configurations, uncharacterised joint nonlinearity, no anchor for model credibility when full-scale test is impossible, and unprescribed tolerance combination.

A prescriptive civil code makes its silences visible — there is a clause to cite or there is not. A judgement-based regime does not: it still produces an answer, and nothing signals that no requirement stood behind it. PSE-TM-01, PSE-TM-02 and PSE-TM-03 are the illustrative cases, one per gap.
Download PDF 9 pp · 135 KB
NASA-STD-5001/5002/5017/7002/7009 · GEVS · ECSS-E-ST-32 familydocument review · absence claims
PSE-TM-05 · Rev A — 2026-10-16Issued

The method for handling a located, deterministic imperfection is already written down — NASA SP-8007 Revision 2 defines an imperfection signature, ECSS prescribes measured and worst-case imperfection analysis, and Koiter supplied the theory in 1945. What does not exist is a signature for packaging. This note sets out what is known about fold- and stowage-induced imperfection in deployable structures, what is missing, and why a packaging signature is a function of the article's history rather than of its design.

A packaging signature varies with fold count, stowage duration and temperature, so it cannot be stored as one shape the way a weld-land signature can. The existing apparatus assumes a static imperfection.
Download PDF 8 pp · 138 KB
NASA/SP-8007-2020 Rev 2 · ECSS-E-HB-32-24A · Koiter 1945review and position · no analysis performed
Open item — carried deliberately

PSE-TM-01 measures its ground-to-orbit result against a reassembly scatter of 0.54%, taken from the source literature. PSE-TM-03 then shows that figure to be misattributed and pooled over hardware the model does not contain, and revises it to 0.082% with a 95% confidence interval of 0.053 to 0.181% resting on three tests. The two notes therefore use different reference scatters, and PSE-TM-01's significance statement is being re-expressed against the revised figure. The correction strengthens the finding rather than weakening it. Recorded here rather than quietly reconciled, because the original error was an inherited citation and that is worth showing.